Date/Time: Sun, Nov 11 / 01:11:00 PM ET, Gillette Stadium, Foxborough, MAThe Bills are depressing. We said it. After scoring a pair of early wins at the beginning of the season, they’ve managed to drop four of their last five matchups, earning a 3-5 record and a dead-last spot in the AFC east.
We won’t even bother discussing their worst loss of the season—that 45-3 blowout by the 49ers that probably cost a lot of money to fans and bettors (or made smart gamblers very rich, depending on how you slice it). Their second-worst defeat? It came at the hands of their AFC East rivals, the New England Patriots, on September 30th when they were bested 52-28.
On Sunday at 1pm ET, they’ll take the road to play the Patriots in a rematch that pretty much everyone is handing to New England. The Pats are 14 points favorite to win this game according to the latest odds on NFL . While the Bills still have a chance to perform an upset, there’s not much hope in Quarterback Ryan Fitzpatrick, whose arm strength fails to match the solidness of his $59 million contract.
But there is hope for the Bills in C.J. Spiller. When he gets his hands on the ball, C.J. Spiller is absolutely explosive. His agility and lightning speed is a defender’s worst nightmare. In his last meeting with New England, the Pats managed to contain him—on 10 touches he totaled a mere 38 yards—but he’s averaging an NFL-best 7.2 yards per carry.
Couple him with veteran Fred Jackson in the backfield and you’ve got a lethal combination for an explosive running game. With Spiller and Jackson, Buffalo has one of the most solid one-two running back punches. Right now, the Bills are 6th in the NFL in rushing with 141.2 yards per game.
But the seemingly untouchable force to be reckoned with is brought back to earth with some disappointing weaknesses. Buffalo’s run defense is horrible—they rank 31st in the league against the run. They’ve allowed 169.4 yards per game and they’ve proven that they lack what it takes to stop opponents on the ground.
Couple that with incredibly disappointing defensive end Mario Williams and you’ve got a recipe for mediocrity at best. Williams scored the largest contract for a defender in league history during the offseason, but he hasn’t demonstrated that he’s worth even 1% of the $100 million his 6-year contract hands him. And there’s only so much reference to his wrist injury that fans can take.
Game Odds:
Buffalo Bills: +11-110, ML +425
New England Patriots: -11-110, ML -550
Game Total: 52.5, o/u-110
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